Daily Tracking Polls. In Rasmussen, McCain is now below 40% for the first time, as Obama leads 46-39%. Usually, the critical line for an incumbent is 50%. Failure to crack 40% is flat-lining, politically. Not coincidentally, Bush’s approval rating remains at a record low in Rasmussen, 31%. In Gallup, Obama leads by a relatively tight 44-42%. This shows relative consistency between Rasmussen and Gallup in McCain’s number — the delta is in Obama’s number. This shouldn’t be too surprising because Obama’s number requires the inclusion of more speculative modeling assumptions since his base includes newly registered voters, and a higher turnout of minority and young voters. But the GOP must be sweating bullets to see McCain somewhere between 39 and 42% as the nominee of the incumbent party holding the White House and the better known public figure.
Gingrich dreams of Gov. Jindal as McCain’s running mate. So do I. Let’s bring on a right wing, unknown politician with roughly 6 months experience as governor to serve as VP. Let’s see what that does to the GOP talking point of the importance of McCain’s longer duration in office.
NY Times’s obtains a copy of McCain’s 1973 thesis written after his return from Vietnam as a student at the Naval War College. Despite having given a “confession” of war crimes by the United States under the coercive pressure of torture by his North Vietnamese captors, he displays a strong intolerance for prisoners of war who spoke ill of the war. His solution is to “explain” the foreign policy objectives more thoroughly to the troops. But critics say this means getting the troops involved in partisan politics, and reflects McCain being stuck in the mindset of the 50s, when there was a simpler, monochromatic US foreign policy that was broken by the tumult and widespread dissent of the 60s. This thesis seems to reveal why McCain remains inflexible in his position on Iraq.
Not that it’s even worthy of attention, but Floyd “the Willie Horton Racist” Brown’s new TV ad suggesting Obama was a Muslim because he attended a Catholic school in Indonesia as a child earns three pinocchios in WaPo’s Fact Checker (in other words: NO!).
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